6/15/25
Silver is waking up...
In This Week's Issue:
- Equity Markets
- Civil Unrest
- Silver
- Platinum
- Crypto Market Update
- Living in an ABC Correction
Equities
Civil Unrest
As the world continues to self-implode through civil unrest, capital begins the ‘flock to safety’. A clear sign of unease, especially amongst the wealthy.
Decreasing the time between these strategic attacks numbs the minds of civilization and normalizes the chaos.
That’s exactly what the global elite want. At the root of it all they want control, and by manipulating the public, they get the sense of control. To put it frank, they’re psychopaths.
These soulless bastards elites sit on their yachts and aim to infuse chaos to make money. Because in times of chaos, money is made.
Think wartime: weapon manufacturers get rich.
Think pandemic: drug manufacturers get rich.
Let's touch on the Ukraine war for a second. Ukraine supplies 50% of the EU’s corn and 25% of their wheat and 80% of their sunflower oil. It’s the 4th largest wheat and corn exporter in the world.
To control the food supply is controlling the people.
Agriculture, as we know it today, is mostly owned and operated by local farmers who have slaved over their crops for a number of years. This is a problem for the elites – they don’t have control, the farmers do.
What’s a little friendly fire between ‘Russia’ and Ukraine to them? No one will question the narrative – Russia is ‘bad’ in the eyes of the crowd anyway.
The money flows tell me a different story.
More here.
Cargill, ADM, BlackRock, Oaktree Capital and Bunge all have their fingers in the pie. And if it isn't directly buying the land, they’re indebting Ukraine by launching a ‘development fund’ to rebuild the place.
Looks like our friends at JPMorgan Chase are providing the capital to fund the rebuild. They don’t do stuff that doesn’t make them money. They’re a bank, that’s their job. Heaven forbid, they default on their loans, Ukraine will be forced to sell in a distressed situation. Essentially, they would be handing over the keys to their GDP to the Global Elites.
During all of this, the US sanctioned the Russian stock market restricting western capital moving in and out as a ‘punishment’. By restricting capital, their companies remain less capitalized to sieze on the opportunity. Elite funds can come in with limited competition and buy assets at pennies on the dollar.
And just like that, the symphony was well orchestrated. Pockets are lined and onto the next chaotic script.
Silver
Silver finally broke out of a 13-year range dating back to February of 2012, showing that capital is getting more and more cautious.
We have discussed gold in the past but its impressive run since the beginning of 2024 is proof that the ‘flight to safety’ is beginning.
The big difference between the two is that gold can be bought by governmental entities, but silver is left to institutional capital and the retail crowd. Silver is now showing a sign that institutional capital wants to be allocated. Retail is yet to join the party as they’re still getting sold on the MAG-7 and whatever the next AI company coming out of the ground.
If you don’t have physical metals, you can buy through a number of avenues online; iShares Silver Trust has been my go-to. Metals are slow-moving so position size adequately and enjoy the ride – It could be a long one.
Platinum
In my February 14th, 2025 report, I first touched on platinum:
Platinum is also further out on the risk curve than gold itself.
But the structure is creating something similar to XRP despite being over a longer timeframe.
I’d be surprised if it consolidates forever. Looks to me as though the market has found a reasonable price to bottom at, we just need some more liquidity to get the price moving to the upside. The risk seems relatively small at time of writing, but this one could take a while to play out.
Since then, we have seen the recent range break to the upside.
Further supporting a case for being allocated to precious metals. I’m bracing myself to hold these for the next 10 to 15 years or until the institutions are force-feeding it to retail. Similar to the 80-20 bond portfolios right now. Bonds will continue to lose value as interest rates rise, but for some reason, 'everyone should have them in their portfolios’.
Crypto Market Update
Living in an ABC Correction
I’ve been leaving a pink-lined ABC on my charts in previous newsletters as I had a strong belief that we would see it soon.
Example from last Newsletter:
Here’s what it looks like now:
If we look closer, we see 5 perfect waves for the A leg.
I’ve added the fractal from the A leg in orange to manage timing expectations for the C leg. My expectation from there is that we slam the lows with some negative news before reversing and consolidating shortly before breaking to new highs.
At that point, I’d expect the dominance to drop rapidly, and capital to flow into the Altcoins.
There’s a large separation in the Altcoin market where some of the assets are at or near all-time highs like XRP, SUI, Solana, TRX, and Hype, to name a few. There's also some that are mid-pack like Monero, LINK, ADA and then there are the laggers like ICP, TIA, FIL, STRK.
As we get a leg higher, I’ll be watching to see if that separation continues with the assets near all-time highs reaching their extensions with the mid pack and laggers only reaching extensions.
I still think we will see a bounce in all the assets – for example Filecoin is a lagger but is ending a long Wyckoff accumulation range, which could bring decent returns.
Getting back to the top of the range is a 400% increase. Obviously a very volatile asset, so position size accordingly.
By the middle of next month, we should be out of the summer, and capital will begin to move. This could be a very exciting time in the crypto market, where prices can fluctuate dramatically so stay the course and enjoy the ride.
Ever wonder how I stay on top of dozens of positions without getting buried in spreadsheets? I built this portfolio tracker to manage my own holdings across stocks, crypto, and more. It’s clean, powerful, and yours for free: Skeptical Investing Crypto and Stock Tracker
Stay Skeptical,
Matt Lieshout
DISCLAIMER: This newsletter is not investment advice. It is provided solely for educational purposes. Our aim is to enhance your understanding and decision-making as an investor; however, you are solely responsible for conducting your own due diligence and consulting a qualified financial professional prior to making any investment decisions. Skeptical Investing and Matthew Lieshout reserve all rights to the content of this publication and related materials. Proceed with caution and at your own risk.
